GoGetEmTigers DTF1 ADMINISTRATOR Detroit Tiger
Number of posts : 57424 Age : 65 Location : Eastern Ohio, near Wheeling WV Favorite Current Tiger(s) : JV, Hunter, Jackson, Porcello, Avila (really ALL of em!) Reputation : 20 Registration date : 2007-10-05
| Subject: Offseason Outlook: Arizona Diamondbacks - 9/23/09 Fri Oct 23, 2009 12:31 am | |
| Offseason Outlook: Arizona Diamondbacks
By Tim Dierkes [September 23, 2009 at 11:20am CST]
Next up in our Offseason Outlook series, the Diamondbacks. Their commitments for 2010:
C - Miguel Montero - $425K C - Chris Snyder - $4.75MM 1B - Brandon Allen - $400K 2B - Ryan Roberts - $400K SS - Stephen Drew - $1.5MM 3B - Mark Reynolds - $423K IF - Augie Ojeda - $713K LF - Conor Jackson - $2.4MM CF - Chris Young - $3.25MM RF - Justin Upton - $412K OF - Eric Byrnes - $11MM OF - Gerardo Parra - $400K OF - Alex Romero - $404K
Other candidates: 1B - Josh Whitesell - $401K, 2B - Rusty Ryal - $400K,
OF - Trent Oeltjen - $400K
SP - Dan Haren - $8.25MM SP - Brandon Webb - $8.5MM (club option) SP - Max Scherzer - $1.45MM SP - Billy Buckner - $403K SP - Yusmeiro Petit - $412K
Other candidates: Jarrod Parker - $400K, Kevin Mulvey - $400K
RP - Chad Qualls - $2.535MM RP - Juan Gutierrez - $401K RP - Esmerling Vasquez - $400K RP - Clay Zavada - $400K RP - Leo Rosales - $403K RP - Blaine Boyer - $433K RP - Daniel Schlereth - $400K
Other commitments: Chad Tracy - $1MM buyout, Jon Garland - $1MM or $2.5MM
Non-tender candidates: Conor Jackson, Daniel Cabrera
D'Backs Managing General Partner Ken Kendrick told Nick Piecoro of the Arizona Republic in June that the Major League payroll was around $76MM, and it will be "the same or more" in 2010. I have their '10 commitments at $52.5MM or $54MM, depending on what happens with Jon Garland. Then we have to add arbitration raises for Montero, Drew, Ojeda, Qualls, and Boyer, which Piecoro feels will cost an additional $5.5MM. In total the D'Backs have about $60MM committed for next year at the high end, operating under the assumptions that Reynolds falls short of Super Two status and Webb and Jackson are retained. The Diamondbacks would have at least $16MM to work with this winter.
If GM Josh Byrnes prefers to shake things up, he could decline Webb's option, non-tender Jackson, and trade Snyder. Those moves could slice $13.65MM from the '10 payroll, though it's a stretch to think Byrnes could find a team to take on Snyder's entire contract. Snyder's trade value is at a low point, so keeping him for now makes sense. I think Byrnes will ultimately exercise Webb's option. The December decision on Jackson will depend on his performance on the instructional league and in winter ball. Jackson is trying to come back from a nasty bout with Valley Fever, and if they keep him the D'Backs can attempt to cut his salary the maximum 20%.
The D'Backs are set with Drew and Reynolds on the left side of the infield, while Allen and Roberts are unproven on the right. Roberts has seen lefties a disproportionate 37% of the time, a big contributor to his strong rookie season. Allen showed huge power in his Triple A Reno stint, but hasn't done much otherwise this year. Theoretically a healthy Jackson could move back to first base and the D'Backs could use Parra and/or Byrnes in left field. If Jackson is non-tendered, it would be reasonable for the D'Backs to use that money to sign a left fielder.
Montero, Reynolds, and Upton had strong years, and Drew is a solid bat at short. With question marks at four other positions, look for the D'Backs to consider importing at least one position player (Piecoro guesses it'll be a second baseman).
Even if Webb is retained, Byrnes will need to sign a starting pitcher. Byrnes doesn't necessarily need to go cheap here; he could fit $15MM for John Lackey into the budget. But realistically he'll look to the second tier, with names like Randy Wolf, Joel Pineiro, and Carl Pavano. That'd leave a few million for a veteran reliever.
Byrnes' moves could mirror last offseason's (Scott Schoeneweis acquired and Felipe Lopez signed to a $3.5MM deal in December, Jon Garland signed for $7.25MM in January, and Tom Gordon signed for $500K in February). We seem to say this annually about the Diamondbacks, but with the right free agents and few more young hitters maturing, they can compete. | |
|