Who will win the World Series?

02/15/2008 10:00 AM ET
Who will win the World Series?
Boston the favorite to repeat, but the Tigers aren't far behind
By John Schlegel / MLB.com

Baseball's general managers and managers are paid to evaluate. To project. To figure out what makes a winner. To determine what gets you to October and puts you over the top.

They're also experts at keeping things close to the vest. At being loyal to their team above all. At focusing on the best in their own and exploiting the worst in others.

So asking them which teams -- other than their own -- will advance to the World Series, especially when they're just now opening up camps for Spring Training, might be in their wheelhouse, but it also might make a few of them squirm a bit. As much as they know, there's plenty they don't want others to know they know.

Undeterred, MLB.com's ever-intrepid reporters sought out responses to that query from either the GM or the manager of the teams they cover, asking under the cloak of anonymity so those cards could be kept close to the vest.

Even with that caveat, it was clear these competitors are loathe, some more than others, to even discuss the notion that any team but their own could go all the way.

"You can't pick your own team, eh?," one said. "That's like, 'Who do you want to go out with? But you can't pick your wife.' "

Thankfully, this survey doesn't have such dramatic consequences. And, ultimately, despite the literally hundreds of years of experience in the survey field, the majority rule was probably what a lot of regular Joes and Janes of baseball fandom might pick.

As one might expect, the Red Sox reigned overall as the pick to repeat in 2008. Overall, the Red Sox earned 17 votes to make it as World Series champions, followed by the power-charged Tigers with seven.

"They're without a doubt the team with the most depth, highest caliber of talent and least weaknesses," one expert said of the Red Sox. "They should be a dominant team again, and the depth of quality Minor League talent offsets the risk of injury."

Said another: "Until someone dethrones them, I would have to say they have the best shot. They had the best team in baseball last year and have everyone coming back. There is a lot of talent in a lot of areas on that team."

And another: "Well, you have to go with the champions from last year. They are just as strong as they were last year."

The Red Sox and Tigers weren't the only teams predicted to hoist the flag-encircled trophy in October, however. The Indians registered three votes, the Mets had two and, in a bit of an upset that wouldn't have been one at all just a few years ago, the Braves had one.

In an expanded take on the poll from last year -- when GM/manager representatives mostly favored the Yankees (nine votes) and Red Sox (eight) but spread the wealth among 10 clubs -- this year's question included a prediction of AL and NL champs as well.

Broken down to World Series matchups, there was a clear frontrunner, as 10 of the 30 thought the Red Sox and their all-tools machine will win a second straight World Series by beating Johan Santana and the Mets in a rematch -- but different outcome -- of one of the most memorable Fall Classics of all time, the 1986 World Series.

In the AL, every one of the 17 voters who thought the Red Sox would win the AL also said they'd win the World Series. But the Tigers, bolstered by the acquisitions of Miguel Cabrera and Dontrelle Willis, garnered nine votes and a lot of praise from the baseball experts for what's expected to be as powerful a lineup in the game.

"I think Detroit has a chance to score 1,000 runs and slug themselves to a World Series title," said one panelist.

The Indians had three votes as AL champions, and last year's darling, the Yankees, got but one vote to the win the AL, none to win the World Series.

In the NL, the field was predictably spread out, though the Mets were far and away the favorite with 13 votes. The rest of the field was made up of seven other possible suitors, led by the Phillies with four votes and the Dodgers, Cubs and D-backs with three apiece. The Braves, Brewers and Rockies also earned mention.

Said one expert: "Really, there are a lot of teams in the National League that have about the same shot. Colorado went last year and is only going to get better, and you have Chicago, Los Angeles, Philadelphia, the New York Mets and San Diego. Any one of them can win, then anything can happen in the World Series."

For the survey to have perspective, the GM or manager was asked -- again, anonymously -- to elaborate on why a particular team might win its league or go all the way to win the World Series this year. Not all the participants expounded upon their votes so, for example, comments on the Cubs didn't emerge from the survey, just those three votes for reaching the World Series.

With that in mind, here is a sampling of some of the comments gleaned:

Red Sox
• "I think they have such great pitching and such great depth. [Daisuke] Matsuzaka is going to get better, and I'm not sure there is a better sixth man in the rotation than either Clay Buchholz or Jon Lester, whoever doesn't win out for that fifth spot. I just think they are too deep and too good not to repeat."

• "Pitching wins, and when you have great hitting too, it's a tough combination."

Tigers
• "If their pitching stays healthy, they should win. And in their lineup, they could have [Edgar] Renteria hitting seventh, Pudge [Ivan Rodriguez] eighth and [Marcus] Thames and [Jacque] Jones platooning and hitting ninth. That's 10 or 15 hits every night."

"They were there two years ago and couldn't get untracked last year, but they'll be focused on getting back, and the moves they made make them even better. Last year was a wake-up call for them to turn it up a notch."

Fall Classic crystal ball
How the 30 MLB GM/manager representatives voted on who will win the 2008 World Series:
Winner	Votes
Red Sox	17
Tigers	7
Indians	3
Mets	2
Braves	1
Most common World Series matchups as voted by the panel
Matchup	Votes
Red Sox-Mets	10
Tigers-Cubs	3
Indians-Phillies	2
Red Sox-D-backs	2
Red Sox-Dodgers	2
Red Sox-Phillies	2
Tigers-Mets	2
Indians-Braves	1
Red Sox-Rockies	1
Tigers-Braves	1
Tigers-D-backs	1
Tigers-Dodgers	1
Tigers-Brewers	1
Yankees-Mets	1

Pennant predictions
Who the panel picked as the league champions
AL	Votes	NL	Votes
Red Sox	17	Mets	13
Tigers	9	Phillies	4
Indians	3	Cubs	3
Yankees	1	D-backs	3
		Dodgers	3
		Braves	2
		Brewers	1
		Rockies	1

To see what they say about the rest of the teams, go to:

Spoiler:

Tigers-Cubs?

Why is that the #2 matchup? Cubs suck!


Tigers all the way in '08

I just noticed something - 1984 and 1968 are the last 2 times the Tigers won it all - those were both election years. 2008 is an election year. This is our year

Speaking of this kind of stuff: I had a dream last Saturday night we won the World Series. I almost cried when I woke up because it wasn't true

Who did we beat in your dream?

Yankees Suck!

But never count them out!